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A do-it-yourself conspiracy theory

September 29th, 2009 avi Comments off

A do-it-yourself conspiracy theory

750 people have managed to take the “Obama Assassination” Facebook poll before it was taken off. Mashable, who reports this news doesn’t provide the vote breakdown. We’re told that the Secret Service is after the poll’s developer(s). Moreover, Facebook’s legal team are so deeply involved wishes they’d work on an hourly basis.

Now that everyone got the publicity they planned for, and assuming that we all agree that it’s impolite to discuss the US president assassination, even as a – bad – joke, I would like to add that it is not completely unlikely for him to get assassinated.

How do I know?
Well, I don’t.

Why do I say that?
Because Obama is a complete failure and because we –here in Israel – have a recent example.

We’re discussing a failing Israeli Prime minister here. Of course, it is not trivial for an Israeli PM to match his predecessor’s failures. You lose a war, only to you find that other PMs have lost more severely, with more casualties and to a lesser enemy. You irresponsibly expend money, only to find out that you’re not the first to cause inflation so high that it takes a decade to eliminate it.

Yitzhak Rabin, a two times PM, is responsible for the 1970s post-Yom Kippur war inflation (making 0-to-40% inflation in three years). On his second round as PM, he is credited for the Oslo accord, a stupidity Israel has hard time getting rid off for the past 13 years.

The Oslo accord was recognized a complete disaster even at Rabin’s time. This is why he was murdered in November 1995, and this is why his coming assassination was peddled, weeks before it took place. I’m not offering a new conspiracy theory here, nor displaying new facts. It’s a known fact that Rabin’s coming assassination was broadly discussed weeks before the night it took place and maybe it was discussed for a reason. One might guess that the failing Rabin government, causing civilian casualties in the thousands, needed a scapegoat.

A failing regime usually has several cards to play. Going bankrupt – calling for new elections – is a common Israeli solution. I wish – I think all Israeli wish – Rabin had applied this solution in 1995. However, failing regimes have a dynamics of their own. Sometimes, this dynamics doesn’t go hand in hand with the longevity of their leaders.

הליכוד מרחיב המימון לאויבי ישראל

September 26th, 2009 avi 2 comments

למי שחשש שלא יהיו פוסטים בעברית:

יש עכשיו בטלויזיה איזה פרס קולנוע ישראלי או משהו, והשרה לימור לבנת אמרה זה עתה (אלא אם זה ביס-מקס) כדלקמן:

- המדינה תממן קולנוע ישראלי ב-67 מיליון שקלים לשנה לחמש השנים הבאות

- המדינה גאה בסרטים כמו ואלס עם באשיר ועג’מי (זוכי הפרס השנה)

מי שרוצה ללמוד על השפעת האמנות על חיי היומיום שלו מוזמן לחכות למחבל הבא שהסרטים האלה יניעו אותו לפעולה.

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Netanyahu plays to the UN hands

September 26th, 2009 avi 1 comment

The Netanyahu UN speech (YouTube) is widely accepted as a success. For the first time for two decades, certainly ever since the October 2000 war, Israel stands for its own.

Nice, isn’t it?

It’s always nice to hear that Israel has a right to exist and wage defencive wars whenever it finds appropriate. If you have a problem with that, Israel with stand for its own and tell you that calling for its annihilation is unheard of. The Netanyahu speech, if given right after the 1948 war of independence, would be considered as a success.

In 1948, Israel was a newborn political body, where some people didn’t like that, waged a war, got defeated, got their population kicked out, end of story. However, by 2009 the state of Israel has been losing wars for four decades consecutively (1970, 1973, 1982, 1987, 2000, 2006, 2009).

The UN – a political body that for some reason finds itself closely related to genocides all over the world – had published its report exactly because Israel is so weak. The UN report – dealing with the way Israel has acted in Gaza during Operation Cast Lead (December 2008 – January 2009) – tested Israel’s will to further destroy itself. After all, it worked in 1991 (following Israel’s inability to react to the Iraqi missiles shot during Operation Desert Storm). The UN justly identified Israel’s weakness, and initiated a move that ended up in the Oslo accord, and almost ended Israel itself.

Netanyahu should have taken these facts into account. Instead of playing the UN game (you give a speech, we take a further step towards ruining you), he should have pulled Israel form the UN. In addition, as the UN report deals with Operation Cast Lead in Gaza, it would be nice to launch a new operation, commemorating the UN report with additional killed terrorists.

I’d further suggest that from now on, The Gladstone report day – Sep-16 – will be a day of broad Israeli attacks on Gaza, a reminder to the entire free world for the proper way to deal with the UN.

Hello world!

September 24th, 2009 avi 3 comments

First post on aviaharon.com

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